An emerging precursor signal in the stratosphere in recent decades for the Indian summer monsoon onset
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چکیده
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Extension of potential predictability of Indian summer monsoon dry and wet spells in recent decades
An understanding of the limit on potential predictability is crucial for developing appropriate tools for extended-range prediction of active/break spells of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). The global low-frequency changes in climate modulate the annual cycle of the ISM and can influence the intrinsic predictability limit of the ISM intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs). Using 104-year (1901–2004)...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Geophysical Research Letters
سال: 2014
ISSN: 0094-8276
DOI: 10.1002/2014gl061633